Donald Trump for president, Mike Parson for governor and Eric Schmitt for attorney general all have at least six points on their opponents among likely Missouri voters, according to the St. Louis University/YouGov politics poll released Tuesday.
SLU and YouGov, a British market research firm, interviewed 931 likely Missouri voters between Sept. 24 and Oct. 7 about the November elections and their experiences with the COVID-19 pandemic.
Trump leads Biden
For the presidential race, 52% of respondents said they would vote for Trump, while 43% sided with former Vice President Joe Biden. That marked a larger advantage for Trump than in the June SLU/YouGov poll, in which 50% of respondents said they would vote for the Republican president and 43% backed his Democratic challenger.
However, Trump’s edge in the latest round of polling diminished after the first presidential debate, with 49% of respondents favoring the president and 45% supporting Biden in post-debate polling. The margin of error for that polling was 5.9%, whereas the margin for the poll as a whole was 3.9%.
Parson edges ahead in governor’s race
The poll also gauged opinions on two statewide races being contested next month. In the governor’s race, 50% of respondents said they would vote for Parson, compared to 44% who said they planned to cast their ballot for Missouri Auditor Nicole Galloway. Parson’s six-point margin in the latest poll follows a “statistical dead heat” in the June poll that showed 41% of voters planning to vote for the Republican governor and 39% likely to support his Democratic opponent.
In the latest poll, Parson enjoyed his strongest support among white, male and rural voters who prioritize “the economy and law and order,” according to an analysis by SLU professor and poll director Steven Rogers. Galloway had more support in Kansas City and St. Louis, and among voters whose top issues include health care and COVID-19, according to the analysis.
In the race for attorney general, Schmitt, the Republican incumbent, led Richard Finneran, the Democratic challenger, 50% to 40%.
Missourians mixed on COVID-19 vaccine
The poll gauged the opinions of likely voters on a range of other issues, including proposed amendments to the state constitution, school districts’ handling of COVID-19 and vaccination for the virus.
Approval of how schools have handled the pandemic has dropped by 10% since June, with 55% of likely voters in the latest poll approving districts’ performance.
Just more than half of those surveyed said they would “probably” get a free, FDA-approved COVID-19 vaccine if it was offered today, and just under half said they would “probably not.”